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By deserting the alliance, Kelly has weakened it but also risks its wrath. Meanwhile, individual hostilities are surfacing:

Rich doesn’t like Rudy’s way with seafood; Sean dissed Susan’s lack of pulchritude, she responded by calling his masculinity into question. This week could bring a huge surprise. Here are each castaway’s odds of making it to next week:

Susan Hawk

38, truck driver.

3-2

(Even)

Sean hates her for masculinity slam but she has no organized opposition.

Rudy Boesch

72, ex-Navy SEAL.

3-2

(Even)

Wily old salt knows how to keep his head down.

Gervase Peterson

30, coach.

5-1

(Up arrow.)

Basketball coach evaded a pick — Sean’s alphabet list — and is now in no harm, no foul situation.

Sean Kenniff

30, physician.

10-1

(Down arrow.)

Endangered only if Sue leads charge against him; unlikely because alphabet strategy suits Richard for now.

Colleen Haskell

23, college student.

20-1

(Up arrow.)

A potential target of the alliance, if it can hold its three remaining members together.

Richard Hatch

39, corporate trainer.

25-1

(Down arrow.)

Colleen, Gervase are sure foes; faces grief if Rudy deserts him over burnt fish remarks and/or Kelly dings him.

Kelly Wiglesworth

23, river guide.

30-1

(Down arrow.)

As both turncoat and next on alphabet list, she’s alliance’s logical next target.

Eliminated: (In chronological order): Sonja Christopher, B.B. Anderson, Stacy Stillman, Ramona Gray, Dirk Been, Joel Klug, Gretchen Cordy, Greg Buis and Jenna Louis