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By John Lloyd

Aug 29 (Reuters) – The great Italian caricaturist Altan had

a cartoon on the front of La Repubblica last week, in which an

Italian is sinking below the waves, shouting: “I’m drowning!” On

the beach, a fat man whose swimsuit sports the German national

colors, says: “Zat is how you learn, zpendthrift!”

This was in a left-of-center daily that is supportive of the

crisis plan of Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti and has set

its face against anti-German populism. The press of the right

has been less restrained: A recent front-page photo of German

Chancellor Angela Merkel showed her with a hand upraised,

perhaps to wave — but vaguely reminiscent of Adolf Hitler’s

minimalist Nazi salute, with the headline “Fourth Reich.” The

article claimed that two world wars and millions of corpses were

“not enough to quiet German egomania”. This was in Il Giornale,

a Milan daily owned by the Berlusconi family.

I smiled at the Altan cartoon on an Italian beach, where I

was last week, looking about for signs of desperation. They were

not dramatic, but observable. Simply, fewer people came. The

soaring cost of petrol, which went over the 2-euro mark for a

liter, was generally held to be the main culprit for the

reduction in the annual hunt for the sun. It was little problem

to hire a beach umbrella, to book a table for dinner, even to

park. While most summers the political news is absent or silly,

this year the Italian papers chronicled, daily, the fever chart

of the Italian and European economy, and it was febrile indeed

— now a spurt of optimism, now a stab of doom.

The technocratic government led by Mario Monti,

distinguished economist and former European commissioner, has

seen little of the beach. The elected politicians, free from the

usual business of government or opposition, were active, too.

The political scene is as boiling hot as the climate. The left

remains fractured and struggles for alliances and unity. The new

populists, led by the comedian Beppe Grillo’s Five Stars

movement, remain attractive to many because of Grillo’s attacks

on a partly corrupt political class. Yet he calls for an end to

parliamentary politics, having run a blog column with a picture

of Benito Mussolini, the prewar dictator, that evoked with

approval his description of parliament (which he dissolved) as

“deaf and gray.”

In the center, a loose coalition of Christian Democrats and

secular liberals invoke the spirit and memory of Alcide de

Gasperi, Italy’s long-serving postwar premier — who presided

over the rapid recovery of the economy in the fifties and

positioned Italy as a founding member of what became the

European Union. It seeks to tempt Monti into heading the

Christian Democrats and running for elected office after his

temporary mandate ends next April.

On the right, the immortal Silvio Berlusconi again dominates

attention. The near-universal assumption, one that I shared,

that his resignation last November, amid jeers and a collapse in

the support for his Forza Italia party, meant his political end

underestimated his will for power. Or, say the many cynics, it

didn’t take into account his fear that if he does not retain

some measure of political power he will finally enter the maw of

the justice system, which has tried to nail him for a quarter of

a century.

He has been addressing the still-faithful around the

country, secure (he says) in the love of the people and in his

country’s need of him. He is on trial in Milan for encouraging

underage prostitution, and this past weekend a German model,

Sabina Began, told the daily Il Fatto Quotidiano that he had

impregnated her, and that she lost the child in a miscarriage

(he denies it). But this is still a country for old men, and at

75, this old man has the money and the media and evidently the

stomach for another fight.

For the moment, though, Italy is Monti’s charge and care,

and though he cuts and cuts, warns of hardships to come, and has

no charisma in any conventional sense, he remains popular among

an electorate desperate for him to succeed. And not just with

the people: Both Moody’s and Fitch rating agencies lauded him

last week, the latter saying he was “credible” and that if and

when he leaves the scene, greater risks return. No hint of a

scandal has attended him, and nothing serious of the kind in his

cabinet, composed mainly of high-end academics. The political

circus around him can look tawdry.

But the beasts in the political circus were chosen by the

people. Pierluigi Bersani, leader of the main center-left party,

Partito Democratico, said in an interview with Repubblica last

week that Monti had done a fine job but must stand aside in the

spring — for “if the idea catches on that politics is not able

to take us out of the crisis, we will put ourselves on the

margins of the democracies.”

Bersani sometimes struggles to present himself as a credible

premier if the left were to win the next elections, but he spoke

well here. For Italy to continue under the tutelage of the

professors would both further weaken the party system and raise

deeper doubts than ever that it could produce an elected,

efficient, clean ruling class.

But suppose the political class of any color really is

incapable of taking the country out of the crisis? In a speech

last week in Rimini to a Catholic youth group, Monti spoke about

the need to restore Italians’ faith in the state — a faith that

can be regained only if the many Italians who now cheat the

taxman cease to do so, and others, including the public

broadcaster RAI, stop regarding the avoiders as merely crafty,

even admirable, for being so. The country, he said — in a rare

flash of drama, even melodrama — was “at war” with the tax

cheats. “We can’t broadcast, even subliminally, the degraded

values which are destroying our society.”

The belief that he seeks to invoke is less in the state and

more in a citizenship where everyone exercises mutual

responsibilities. This unelected, precise, rather lofty man

presents the nature and obligations of democracy better than any

elected Italian politician I have heard. Many of these will,

indeed, share this thought, but the daily battle for power and

attention in a political system as complex and fragmented as the

Italian, which gives so many privileges to the elected, leaves

too little time and will for the observance of democratic

ideals.

Italy has put in place a dictator-expert to make politics

safe for elected politicians once more. The paradox is that he

is better at articulating democratic necessities than the latter

have been. The capacity for these politicians to rise to his

level and to make politics serve the electorate, through the bad

times which will roll on after Monti, is the test of tests

before this country — even, given its size and importance,

before Europe. The signs that they will are, as yet, fragile:

The shadows of doubts about the future fell across the scorching

beaches this summer, and are likely to remain.