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By Andrew Callus

LONDON, Jan 31 (Reuters) – Anglo-Dutch oil company Royal

Dutch/Shell pledged an ambitious 4.7 percent increase

in its quarterly dividend on Thursday and pushed ahead with

plans to deliver more oil and gas, despite an “uncertain”

outlook for some parts of the world economy.

The company was delivering profits that undershot

expectations at $5.582 billion for the fourth quarter on an

addusted current cost of supply basis, up from $4.846 billion a

year ago thanks in part to stronger refining margins, but

compared with expectations of around $6.2 billion.

However, analysts have said its strong cashflow outlook for

the years ahead justify a higher payout.

The company pledged a net $33 billion of capital spending

for next year, some of which will go into controversial places

like Nigeria, where a Dutch court this week found its local

subsidiary partly responsible for pollution, and into the

Arctic, where it suffered a series of accidents last year that

have raised new questions about the safety of offshore drilling

there.

Shell said it would keep investing despite “headwinds” and

despite an “uncertain” economic outlook in some of its markets.

Shell has a strong flow of new projects coming on stream in

the coming years to support the higher dividend.

It plans to deliver $175-$200 billion of total cash flow

from operations for 2012-2015 and a net capital spending

programme of $120-$130 billion.

“Shell’s efforts to expand its pipeline of potential energy

projects are paying off,” said Chief Executive Peter Voser. “Our

drive to increase our options for future projects means that we

are more constrained by limits on capital than by limits on

opportunities.”

Looking further ahead though, the world number two and its

peers are under pressure as the costs of finding and producing

new resources rise towards a static oil price, and globally, the

oil sector was a relatively poor performer in 2012.