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By Nick Brown

NEW YORK, Feb 20 (Reuters) – Efforts to negotiate a

consensual restructuring at Energy Future Holdings, the

embattled Texas utility, are looking bleaker, and a long

bankruptcy is becoming the most likely option, according to

several people close to the matter.

The company, struggling under about $40 billion in debt, had

hoped to have the framework of a restructuring deal in place

before filing for bankruptcy, which would save time and legal

costs. But with time running out before potential defaults and

no deal close, a so-called “free-fall” bankruptcy is looking

more likely, said three people close to the matter on Thursday,

and who declined to be named because talks are private.

A bankruptcy would likely result in the breakup of the

company, though it is unclear exactly how it would be broken up,

two of the people said. Energy Future Holdings has not given up

on the prospect of keeping the company together, said one of the

people.

One major obstacle in restructuring talks, according to two

of the people, is a dispute over whether holders of senior loan

debt are entitled to a tax basis “step up,” which would allow

them save on tax payments post-bankruptcy based on a higher

depreciable tax base.

The company is in talks for a roughly $4 billion loan to

fund its regulated holding company through bankruptcy, said

another person close to the matter.

Its unregulated holding company is also in talks for a

bankruptcy loan with a consortium that includes Citigroup,

said one of the people.

The Wall Street Journal first reported that Energy Future

was preparing for a breakup and in talks for a bankruptcy loan.

Energy Future Holdings was created in October 2007 in a $45

billion buyout of Dallas-based TXU Corp, the biggest electricity

generating and distribution company in Texas.

The buyout, led by KKR & Co, TPG Capital Management

LP and the private equity arm of Goldman Sachs,

saddled the company with debt just as natural gas prices were

about to plunge, making its coal-fired plants unprofitable.

Many industry experts believed the company would choose to

skip a $270 million interest payment and file bankruptcy last

November, but the company chose to make the payment, extending

its runway for restructuring talks.

Its next day of reckoning may be fast approaching. Sometime

this month or next, Energy Future expects to receive an opinion

from auditors on whether it can survive as a going concern based

upon its annual financial statements. It may have trouble

convincing auditors to grant a positive opinion, given that it

does not have enough cash to afford the $3.8 billion of bank

debt that matures in October. Failure to secure such an opinion

would trigger a default of EFH’s $20 billion of bank debt,

meaning lenders could push the company into bankruptcy.