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* Q4 op profit 238.5 bln yen vs 46.1 bln yen yr-ago

* Q4 net profit 121 bln yen vs 25.4 bln yen yr-ago

* Sees 2012/13 op profit of 1 trln yen vs 355.6 bln yen

* Sees operating margin of 4.5 pct this yr vs 1.9 pct last

yr

* Toyota shares close flat ahead of earnings

By Chang-Ran Kim

TOKYO, May 9 (Reuters) – Toyota Motor Corp expects

to treble its operating profit this year to more than $12.5

billion, its highest since the global financial crisis, as

Japan’s top automaker recovers lost ground in markets from the

United States to China.

Operating profit jumped more than five-fold in January-March

to $3 billion, with all production centres back up and running

after last year’s earthquake, tsunami and Thai floods disrupted

supply chains and cost Toyota around 400,000 cars in lost output

– roughly 9 weeks worth of U.S. sales.

With robust top-line growth a given in the current year –

the company predicts operating profit of 1 trillion yen ($12.54

billion), in line with market forecasts – Toyota is looking to

squeeze further cost cuts in a battle to offset a strong yen

. Executives say they have gone back to a war on waste –

or “muda” – a key component of its vaunted production system.

At a briefing on Wednesday, Chief Financial Officer Satoshi

Ozawa noted the “huge contribution from all the (cost-cutting)

efforts we’ve been making.”

Toyota President Akio Toyoda, the 56-year-old grandson of

the automaker’s founder, said everyone in the company had worked

towards improving profitability, and “the focus on making good

cars has translated into sales volumes and profits. That in turn

is leading to investments for even better cars,” he said.

With U.S. dealerships humming again, Toyoda and his aides

have sketched out a strategy aimed at stripping costs from

everything – from production lines in Japan to Mississippi to

the years of design and engineering that go into making new cars

and parts.

The goal is to push up profit margins even as Toyota rides a

wave of recovering demand while tapping into its tradition of

incremental improvement – or “kaizen” – the corporate creed that

once made it the world’s most feared and studied manufacturer.

Toyota expects operating margins to improve this year to 4.5

percent from 1.9 percent in the year just ended. That gets it

closer to a target of a minimum 5 percent margin before 2015,

but is still short of Nissan Motor Co’s 7.1 percent

margin and 6.5 percent at Honda Motor Co, the Japanese

automaker that was slowest to recover from last year’s lost

output. South Korean rival Hyundai Motor’s operating

margin tops 10 percent.

Toyota said sales in emerging markets were in line with its

plans, including in China where January-April sales were heading

for a full-year target of 1 million vehicles.

“As we seek growth in emerging markets, a big challenge for

us in a market like China, for example, is how to speed up

product launches and come up with the right products for the

market,” Toyoda said.

HOME PRODUCTION

Despite the pain of building cars at home with the dollar

far below the 85 yen breakeven level in Japan, Toyota has

committed to build at least 3 million vehicles a year at its

domestic factories – roughly triple the output at local rivals

Nissan and Honda. Among the hurdles Toyota faces in Japan are

the strong yen, costly labour regulations, high corporate taxes

and an energy policy deadlock that has shut all Japan’s nuclear

reactors and driven up costs.

Toyota last month unveiled a new scheme aimed at slashing

development costs by more than a fifth, in part by using more

shared components. This allows automakers to cut procurement

costs on the bits customers don’t see or necessarily appreciate,

such as the metal brackets that hold seats in place.

Toyota was once considered a benchmark in this, but rivals

now look to follow Volkswagen’s lead in using a wide

range of shared parts in both its luxury Audi and mass-market

Volkswagen brands.

The Japanese firm is also renewing efforts to step up its

manufacturing efficiencies – something executives concede fell

by the wayside when the company raced to add factory lines to

meet soaring demand before the global financial crisis brought

growth to a shuddering halt.

In the United States, where its reputation for quality with

vehicles like the Camry was once unassailable, Toyota is under

pressure from Hyundai and the recovering Detroit automakers. Its

U.S. sales jumped 12 percent last month – though that’s still

nearly a fifth below April 2008 before the financial crisis.

“Toyota’s recovery will make the overall auto industry’s

competitive landscape tougher this year,” said Song Sang-hoon,

analyst at Kyobo Securities in Seoul. “For Toyota, the big risk

factors will be how much the yen could strengthen and the

outlook for the U.S. market. It has competitive models from the

Camry to the Prius and the Corolla, and how that trio of

flagship models can perform will decide its recovery pace.”

Toyota forecast current year net profit of 760 billion yen,

its best in five years.

Toyota shares, valued at more than $134 billion, have gained

more than a third since the broad market trough in

late-November, outperforming Nissan, Honda, General Motors

, Ford and VW, but lagging BMW. The main

Topix share index is up by a tenth over the same period.

Toyota closed flat on Wednesday ahead of the earnings in a

broader Topix market that fell 1.4 percent.