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By Sharon Begley

NEW YORK, May 26(Reuters) – A long-awaited report on

workplace wellness programs, which has still not been publicly

released, delivers a blow to the increasingly popular efforts,

Reuters has learned, casting doubt on a pillar of the Affordable

Care Act and a favorite of the business community.

According to a report by researchers at the RAND Corp,

programs that try to get employees to become healthier and

reduce medical costs have only a modest effect. Those findings

run contrary to claims by the mostly small firms that sell

workplace wellness to companies ranging from corporate titans to

mom-and-pop operations.

RAND delivered the congressionally mandated analysis to the

U.S. Department of Labor and the Department of Health and Human

Services last fall.

The report found, for instance, that people who participate

in such programs lose an average of only one pound a year for

three years.

In addition, participation “was not associated with

significant reductions in total cholesterol level.” And while

there is some evidence that smoking-cessation programs work,

they do so only “in the short term.”

Most large U.S. employers believe the programs improve

workers’ health and reduce or at least keep the lid on medical

spending. “Companies from the CEO on down feel that these

programs are bringing value,” said Maria Ghazal, a vice

president at the Business Roundtable, the association of chief

executives of big companies. “The criticism is surprising,

because companies are not hearing that internally.”

Some experts not involved with the new report say even the

modest benefits RAND found need qualification.

“The strongest predictor of whether someone will lose weight

or stop smoking is how motivated they are,” said Al Lewis,

founder and president of the Disease Management Purchasing

Consortium International, which helps self-insured employers and

state programs reduce healthcare costs. “Since the programs are

usually voluntary, the most motivated employees sign up. That

makes it impossible to credit the programs with success in

smoking cessation or weight loss rather than the employees’

motivation.”

For its report, RAND collected information about wellness

programs from about 600 businesses with at least 50 employees

and analyzed medical claims collected by the Care Continuum

Alliance, a trade association for the health and wellness

industry.

Industry experts noted that whenever researchers analyze

hundreds of programs, there are inevitably more effective and

less effective ones.

“Traditional workplace wellness barely scratches the

surface,” said Keith Lemer, president of WellNet, which provides

programs to Cumulus Media, Viking Range Corp and the

Charlie Palmer Group of restaurants, among others. “Done right,

(the program) requires the integration of clinical data,

wellness, health coaching, and work flow.” The initiatives

succeed if they have “senior level support and a high-degree of

employee engagement in healthy behaviors,” he said.

SAVINGS OF $2.38 A MONTH

The report’s conclusions about the financial benefits of

workplace wellness programs are also grim. In theory, the

programs should reduce medical spending as employees become

healthier and thereby avoid expensive conditions such as heart

disease, cancer and stroke.

In fact, workers who participated in a wellness program had

healthcare costs averaging $2.38 less per month than

non-participants in the first year of the program and $3.46 less

in the fifth year. Those modest savings were not statistically

significant, meaning they could have been due to chance and not

to the program.

More surprisingly, workplace wellness did not catch warning

signs of disease or improve health enough to prevent

emergencies. “We do not detect statistically significant

decreases in cost and use of emergency department and hospital

care” as a result of the programs, RAND found.

The RAND report was mandated by the Affordable Care Act, the

healthcare reform law known as Obamacare. Two sources close to

the report expected it to be released publicly this past winter.

Reuters read the report when it was briefly posted online by

RAND on Friday before being taken down because the federal

agencies were not ready to release it, said a third source with

knowledge of the analysis.

FROM SUBISIDY TO PENALTY

Starting next year, the healthcare reform law allows

employers to reward employees who participate in workplace

wellness programs with subsidies equal to 30 percent of the cost

of insurance premiums, or about $1,620 annually per worker.

If wellness programs do not reduce healthcare spending, some

employees could suffer financially. If an employer is

subsidizing employees who use its program but is not reaping

lower healthcare costs, it has three choices. It can absorb the

costs, perhaps figuring it helps recruit or retain valued

employees. It can raise healthcare premiums across the board. Or

it can raise costs only to workers who do not participate,

through higher deductibles or premiums, by at least that $1,620.

Cost-shifting seems especially unfair if wellness programs

don’t deliver medically or financially, said senior counsel

Dania Palanker of the National Women’s Law Center, which

generally supports the programs: “We’ve seen plans that appear

to cost-shift, with wellness programs rolled out at the same

time that premiums or deductibles are increased.”

$6 BILLION INDUSTRY

Workplace wellness is a $6 billion industry in the United

States, with an estimated 500 vendors now selling the programs.

Fifty-one percent of employers with 50 or more workers offer

one, the RAND report found. Medium-to-large companies now spend

an average of $521 per employee per year on wellness incentives

(gift cards for losing weight, for instance), double the $260 in

2009, according to a survey by Fidelity Investments and the

National Business Group on Health released in February.

For many employers, wellness programs are a recruiting and

retention tool, attracting the health-conscious employees they

prefer. The programs also promise to control an employer’s

healthcare spending. By getting workers to stop smoking they

should reduce expensive emphysema treatments, for instance, and

by nudging workers to get annual physicals they are expected to

help companies avoid such financial black holes as cancer

treatment and stroke rehabilitation.

Although the RAND report’s conclusions seem counterintuitive

– how can wellness programs not improve health? – other recent

studies agree.

This year researchers at the University of California

conducted an analysis of dozens of existing studies of workplace

wellness programs at the behest of the California state senate.

Based on gold-standard studies, similar to those that evaluate a

new drug, participating in work-based wellness programs does not

lower blood pressure, blood sugar or cholesterol and rarely

leads to weight loss, said Janet Coffman, a health policy expert

at the University of California, San Francisco, Institute for

Health Policy Studies.

“Even in studies that found statistically significant weight

loss, it was not always sustained,” she said.

Similarly, after years in which vendors and others claimed

that the programs return $3, $9 and more for every $1 invested,

rigorous studies have found the opposite, also providing support

for the RAND findings.

Earlier this year, economist Gautam Gowrisankaran of the

University of Arizona and colleagues found that employees who

participated in the wellness program at BJC Healthcare, a St.

Louis, Missouri-based hospital system, had fewer

hospitalizations for illnesses such as heart disease and

diabetes. But their overall spending did not decrease, the

researchers reported in the journal Health Affairs.

The main reasons, said Gowrisankaran, were that employees

who fill out company surveys assessing their health risks (“what

is your blood pressure?”) or get health screenings at

company-sponsored health fairs (“you better see a doctor about

that”) led to more office visits and medication use. In-patient

costs fell $22 per employee per month, on average, but other

costs rose $19. The program cost $500,000 per year.

“The wellness program just didn’t save money,” Gowrisankaran

said.

To understand how that can be, experts offer the example of

what happens when a workplace wellness program identifies

hypertension (by requiring participants to get a physical) in

someone who never suspected she had it. That might keep her from

having a stroke in 20 years, but in the meantime it leads to

physician visits and drugs to manage a condition that had gone

untreated – and that therefore had previously cost the company

or its insurer nothing, explained Vik Khanna, a benefits

consultant in St. Louis.

Employers told RAND they were “overwhelmingly” confident

that workplace wellness reduces medical costs. Yet only 44

percent have actually evaluated their efforts, and only 2

percent had precise savings estimates. Most leave those

calculations to companies that sell them the programs, or to

consultants, opening the door to creative accounting, say

skeptics.

Tom Emerick, president of Emerick Consulting and former vice

president of global benefits at Walmart, is one of them:

“Many of the vendors reporting savings are making it up.”

Ghazal of the Business Roundtable acknowledged that

calculating savings from wellness programs is tricky:

“Sometimes the benefits are way down the road, when the person

is not at that employer anymore.”

On the bright side, the RAND report says healthcare costs

and use of expensive medical services rose more slowly for

program participants than nonparticipants. That offers hope

“that a reduction in direct medical costs would materialize if

employees continued to participate.”

(Reporting by Sharon Begley; editing by Prudence Crowther)